Unmanned or will be the ultimate stage of smart car development

Many countries are already studying the technology of unmanned driving, and related test products have also been born one after another. I don't tell him the average person. Driverlessness is the ultimate stage in the development of smart cars. It is a revolutionary change in the automotive industry by taking the driver away from the “human-car-road” system model.

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In fact, the topic of driverlessness is global. Comprehensive media information such as the BBC, on January 14th, US local time, the US Department of Transportation (DOT) Minister Anthony Fox announced on behalf of the US government to invest 4 billion US dollars in the driverless sector in the next decade. At the same time, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) of the US Department of Transportation announced that it would exempt 2,500 vehicles in the entire industry from the current relevant traffic safety regulations within two years, that is, allow these vehicles to go on the road without a driver. US Transportation Secretary Anthony Fox said, "The program is designed to help manufacturers and technology companies develop safer and smarter vehicles over the next decade. This is also the plan of current President Barack Obama, which will enable the United States to transport in the future. Take the lead."

According to Japan’s Kyodo News, the United Nations negotiators said that the United Nations agencies that have developed international rules for the development of auto-driving systems for global automakers have begun to develop safety regulations. It is expected that Japan and Germany will propose a plan for the highway’s driving regulations. It will be approved as early as March 2017. Member states will improve domestic laws in accordance with international regulations.

Google has long worked hard on driverless driving. According to Wired, Google’s latest report to the DMV (American Motor Vehicle Administration) shows that since September 2014, Google’s driverless cars have traveled 6.8 million kilometers, and Google’s driverless cars have “actively left unmanned”. Status "272 times. The official detailed data also pointed out that of the 13 cases most likely to develop into an accident, 8 occurred in 2014 and the remaining 5 occurred in 2015. In 2014 and 2015, the driving distance of driverless cars was 85,000 kilometers and 595,000 kilometers respectively. The service performance improvement is still quite large. Google has suggested that the percentage of autopilot time for driverless cars has been steadily increasing.

At the 2016 CES (International Consumer Electronics Show), unmanned driving also received unprecedented attention. According to incomplete statistics, as many as 13 car companies participated, including manufacturers such as Audi and BMW. In addition, Baidu's driverless car has also achieved full-automatic driving in mixed road conditions in cities, loops and highways for the first time in China. At the second World Internet Conference in December last year, Baidu unmanned vehicles made a high-profile appearance. Li Yanhong, CEO of the company, introduced the progress of Baidu unmanned vehicles, including its independent research and development, top speed, cost, mass production plan and other issues, which undoubtedly promoted the process of commercialization of driverless driving in China.

Industrial Opportunity 2016 is the first year of unmanned investment. It is expected that by 2020, unmanned driving will be initially commercialized and mass production will be realized in 2025. The industry will usher in a medium to long-term investment opportunity of 5 to 10 years. At this stage, the industry is still in the stage of technology accumulation and product innovation. At present, the commercialization of mature technology products and the import substitution of key technologies are the two main investment lines worthy of layout. The ADAS, sensor and map navigation markets are expected to benefit first. The gradual maturity of driving technology.

ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance System) is an active safety technology that assists drivers in detecting possible hazards and even proactive interventions through information collection and processing. From a technical point of view, ADAS builds a bridge of unmanned technology and is a gradual way for car companies to cut into unmanned driving. From a commercial point of view, ADAS is a commercialized product of unmanned results at this stage. The Internet giant is expected to cooperate with car companies and component manufacturers for R&D.

Undoubtedly, driverless driving will boost the development of automotive sensors, and the industry will have a huge market in the future. In recent years, thanks to the development of the “Internet of Things”, China's sensor market has continued to grow. According to the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, the size of China's sensor market reached 64.6 billion yuan in 2013, of which the car sensor market share accounted for about 25%. In recent years, benefiting from the intelligent trend of the automotive industry and the development of advanced driver assistance systems, the demand for in-vehicle sensors is strong, and the market continues to maintain a growth rate of 6%. Unmanned driving in the future will become a new demand driver, and the sensor market growth will be further amplified. Some brokers predict that the automotive sensor market will maintain an 8% growth rate in the next three years, and the market size will reach 16.16 billion yuan in 2017.

In recent years, related companies have developed in-vehicle infrared night vision imaging technology – thermal imaging cameras into the automotive market with the support of infrared monitoring technology in the field of security and other fields, providing important technical support for the future of unmanned driving. At present, high-end models such as Mercedes-Benz and BMW have begun to deploy infrared cameras. Domestic manufacturers such as Dali Technology and Gaode Infrared have been working on the research of ADAS car infrared thermal imaging, and have absolute core technology.

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