"Robot substitution" is the trend of the traditional enterprises need to consider four issues

As a manufacturing powerhouse, China has become the world's largest industrial robot market for three consecutive years. It has grown at an average annual rate of 40% between 2010 and 2016. In 2015, it purchased a total of 68,000 industrial robots, accounting for the global sales. One quarter.

In the face of the trend of robots, should traditional enterprises follow suit or wait and see? Who and the robot represent the future of manufacturing and even service? How do you calculate the cost when considering the introduction of a robot? All the answers must start with the reasons for the popularity of the robot.

What is hidden behind the wave of Chinese companies hiring robots?

The world's first robot was born in 1954, and it was not early in China in the field of robotics. In 2011, Foxconn announced the "Million Robot Project", which made many people realize that this was a fantasy product in science fiction, and now it has penetrated into all aspects of industry. Thanks to the development of China's manufacturing industry and the key to industrial upgrading, robots have been in China for many years in the sales season. According to statistics released by the International Federation of Robotics (IFR), China is the fastest growing industrial robot market in the world. From 2010 to 2016, the total annual growth rate of industrial robots in China is about 40%. Today, robots not only appear in many manufacturing plants, assembly lines, large systems, but also in the medical, banking, catering and other service industries. It can be seen that the enterprise “hiring” robot has become a “fashion”. There are three main reasons behind the analysis from the big environment:

1. Reducing cost pressure: The purpose of business is to make profits. The participation of robots in industries in Western countries such as Europe and the United States is very early, while China's development in the past five or six years is slow, except for giant companies such as automobile manufacturing, large-scale dairy industry and garment processing. Part of it is still artificial, because it is cheaper at the time, and the popularity of robots at this time has a lot to do with the increase in labor costs year by year. According to a study conducted by Oxford Economics in the first half of 2016, the unit labor cost in China is only 4% lower than that in the US, and the growth of labor costs in China far exceeds the growth of production efficiency. When the cost of hiring “people” is getting higher and higher, robot replacement is the mainstream.

2. Improve the technical level: Low cost is the biggest driving force for robot development, and improving the technical level is another important reason. Compared with humans, robots have both clumsy and inflexible birth defects, as well as many advantages of stability, efficiency, and extremely difficult tasks. A few years ago, I visited the Mengniu assembly line and the Beijing Modern Assembly Workshop. A robotic arm of more than three meters can easily put more than a dozen boxes of milk packed on the forklift from a few meters away. The efficiency of handling is obviously greatly reduced. The same is true in the medical field, as robots can perform many difficult surgical procedures and medical robots are gradually involved. According to the Science and Technology Daily, as of October 28 this year, 59 sets of medical robots were installed nationwide, and 35,273 cases of surgery were completed, including more than 2/5 of urological operations.

3. Increased market outbreaks: The diversification of robots and the birth of many well-known robots are also important reasons for the popularity of robots. Industrial robots emerged in the 1960s, and service robots emerged in the 1990s. At present, global robots are mainly industrial robots, accounting for 80% of the total market. Because the robot "can only replace a subtask that is precisely defined" (that is, solve a single problem) characteristics. Even if the robots used in the automotive field are smart, they may have no effect in the mobile phone manufacturing industry. With the increase in the number of robot companies serving various traditional industries, more companies have the opportunity to choose robots to participate in production. At present, 80% of industrial robots in China still come from imports, and domestic robot companies are also exploding. At present, there are more than 800 robot companies of a certain scale in China.

Traditional enterprise buying a "robot" to consider four questions <br> <br> 2011, Foxconn announced the "Million robot program", there are more than 40,000 robots to fully participate in the production process. These robots were dispatched to the production base in Zhengzhou, and a large number of installations were also completed at the Chengdu Flatbed Factory, Kunshan and Jiashan Computer/Peripheral Plants. The automated completion rate on some of Foxconn's production lines has reached 70%, according to its employees, in the new iPhone7 workshop, there are more robots than workers. But compared to Foxconn's more than 1.2 million employees, the number of 40,000 robots is not too much.

More and more companies are choosing to introduce robots. In the face of this trend, how should traditional enterprises consider adding "robots"? I think it needs to be considered from four aspects:

1. Based on actual demand: There are many benefits to robots participating in production, but not all companies are suitable for robots. The first thing that traditional enterprises should introduce into robots is whether robots can be perfectly integrated with their original production lines. After all, robots are very different from people in terms of working environment requirements. In addition, the work that robots and laborers are good at is also different. The advantage of artificial in the production process with more certain factors is that the "dead" robot can't match. It is necessary to consider the actual situation of the enterprise and not blindly follow the trend.

2, to improve production efficiency as the fundamental: the survey shows that the total cost of robots calculated in 10 years is less than 1/3 of the labor, but equipped with robots is a one-time short-term investment, that is, for 10 years of cost savings, you need to invest in labor three times. The investment in the year, once the future changes, this cost advantage may be gone. Therefore, if you only consider the robot to reduce costs, you must be careful to introduce. In terms of robots equipped with companies such as Foxconn, Midea, Xinbao Electric, and Meizhi Refrigeration, most of them are considering the improvement of production efficiency. For example, in the past, the manufacturing process of the product was AE, in which the efficiency of the B link was low, which caused the production capacity of the entire production line to be suppressed, so that the robot could be introduced to the Node B, which indirectly revitalized the overall production efficiency.

The same is true for service industry robots. For example, in the traditional e-commerce transaction, logistics is the most important link that restricts the e-commerce experience. The speed of logistics directly determines the loyalty of users to the e-commerce platform. So in today's Amazon's dozens of warehouses, more than 15,000 Kiva robots are working hard, and they have been exploring the use of more efficient drones to deliver express delivery, in an effort to reduce the average delivery time to less than a few hours. Because of the efficiency of robots in its logistics, Amazon is known as the most efficient warehouse in the world. This is a classic case in which a robot solves an enterprise's production or service of a single node, thereby improving overall efficiency. Traditional enterprises can consider the efficiency and accept the participation of robots in production services.

3. Guided by practical principles, it does not engage in radicalism: although the first robot appeared in the 1960s, compared with the history of manipulating machines in the traditional industrial model, the time for robots to participate in production services is still Very short. Most of our common businesses, such as banks, accounts, cashiers, loans, etc., can replace bank staff with robots. In September this year, the German commercial bank planned to cut 9,600 employees by 2020. However, the robot lacks the "workaround" flaw, which makes it less capable of straining unexpected events. Even if the robot can completely replace the manual, it should be gradually and slowly laid out.

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